From: Nuclear war between Israel and Iran: lethality beyond the pale
 | Burn and mass fire zones | Blast overpressure (psi) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scenario/City | Yield (Kt) | 50% mass fire | 3rd- degree burns | 2nd- degree burns | 8.1 | 4.9 | 3 | 0.6 |
Israeli Cities | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
- Beer Sheva | 15 | 13,530 | 21,010 | 11,680 | 130 | 710 | 11,600 | 22,600 |
- Haifa | 15 | 7,650 | 13,710 | 17,430 | 80 | 330 | 6,260 | 36,200 |
- Tel Aviv | Dual 15 | 21,840 | 39,680 | 39,060 | 250 | 1,100 | 18,460 | 115,770 |
Iranian Single-Strike cities | ||||||||
- Arak | 250 | 13,810 | 27,580 | 1,340 | 2,000 | 6,100 | 11,540 | 12,160 |
- Ardabil | 500 | 6,000 | 16,070 | 1,010 | 2,550 | 4,400 | 5,350 | 7,350 |
- Hamadan | 250 | 13,610 | 29,680 | 1,860 | 2,080 | 7,720 | 9,270 | 15,140 |
- Karaj | 15 | 22,450 | 37,290 | 49,600 | 150 | 780 | 18,700 | 111,150 |
- Karaj | 50 | 62,680 | 106,220 | 57,430 | 640 | 3,890 | 39,180 | 155,450 |
- Karaj | 100 | 106,910 | 168,240 | 24,900 | 830 | 7,240 | 55,850 | 154,890 |
- Karaj | 250 | 110,720 | 167,450 | 15,710 | 2,570 | 15,700 | 71,720 | 118,610 |
- Karaj | 500 | 55,410 | 121,240 | 10,220 | 4,660 | 23,020 | 50,570 | 85,820 |
- Kerman | 500 | 11,130 | 32,590 | 1,270 | 2,380 | 11,320 | 14,130 | 8,160 |
- Qazvin | 100 | 17,630 | 32,350 | 1,790 | 1,340 | 4,540 | 10,130 | 21,980 |
- Rasht | 500 | 10,560 | 26,710 | 1,970 | 2,970 | 6,700 | 9,260 | 21,520 |
- Reza Iyeh | 500 | 12,440 | 34,490 | 2,370 | 3,210 | 10,760 | 13,280 | 16,130 |
- Yazd | 250 | 20,500 | 35,570 | 5,070 | 1,080 | 4,610 | 12,500 | 30,360 |
- Zahedan | 500 | 6,760 | 22,920 | 100 | 2,090 | 8,610 | 11,510 | 1,120 |
Iranian Multiple- Strike Cities | Yield/Number of weapons | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
- Ahvaz | 250 + 500 | 38,180 | 55,270 | 6,530 | 210 | 3,800 | 6,850 | 63,270 |
- Bandar Abbas | 100 × 3 | 11,970 | 21,060 | 400 | 650 | 3,880 | 7,810 | 9,750 |
- Esfahan | 500 × 2 | 86,520 | 140,960 | 23,690 | 320 | 6,970 | 51,710 | 139,080 |
- Kermanshah | 250 × 3 | 9,420 | 64,540 | 12,450 | 20,070 | 26,430 | 41,900 | 102,230 |
- Mashad | 500 × 3 | 26,950 | 51,360 | 3,260 | 470 | 3,890 | 16,380 | 38,110 |
- Shiraz | 500 × 2 | 57,360 | 107,560 | 16,140 | 1,070 | 9,750 | 36,220 | 86,090 |
- Tabriz | 500 × 2 | 17,070 | 62,310 | 1,370 | 8,020 | 25,510 | 19,130 | 16,000 |
- Tehran | 100 × 5 | 469,720 | 846,470 | 231,010 | 5,650 | 37,770 | 249,910 | 1,325,520 |
- Tehran | 250 × 5 | 419,030 | 803,370 | 299,430 | 13,090 | 60,030 | 280,380 | 1,221,110 |
- Tehran | 500 × 5 | 309,110 | 591,320 | 50,680 | 16,000 | 73,560 | 192,590 | 485,110 |