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Table 6 Injuries due to burns and blast by cities

From: Nuclear war between Israel and Iran: lethality beyond the pale

 

Burn and mass fire zones

Blast overpressure (psi)

Scenario/City

Yield (Kt)

50% mass fire

3rd- degree burns

2nd- degree burns

8.1

4.9

3

0.6

Israeli Cities

        

- Beer Sheva

15

13,530

21,010

11,680

130

710

11,600

22,600

- Haifa

15

7,650

13,710

17,430

80

330

6,260

36,200

- Tel Aviv

Dual 15

21,840

39,680

39,060

250

1,100

18,460

115,770

Iranian Single-Strike cities

- Arak

250

13,810

27,580

1,340

2,000

6,100

11,540

12,160

- Ardabil

500

6,000

16,070

1,010

2,550

4,400

5,350

7,350

- Hamadan

250

13,610

29,680

1,860

2,080

7,720

9,270

15,140

- Karaj

15

22,450

37,290

49,600

150

780

18,700

111,150

- Karaj

50

62,680

106,220

57,430

640

3,890

39,180

155,450

- Karaj

100

106,910

168,240

24,900

830

7,240

55,850

154,890

- Karaj

250

110,720

167,450

15,710

2,570

15,700

71,720

118,610

- Karaj

500

55,410

121,240

10,220

4,660

23,020

50,570

85,820

- Kerman

500

11,130

32,590

1,270

2,380

11,320

14,130

8,160

- Qazvin

100

17,630

32,350

1,790

1,340

4,540

10,130

21,980

- Rasht

500

10,560

26,710

1,970

2,970

6,700

9,260

21,520

- Reza Iyeh

500

12,440

34,490

2,370

3,210

10,760

13,280

16,130

- Yazd

250

20,500

35,570

5,070

1,080

4,610

12,500

30,360

- Zahedan

500

6,760

22,920

100

2,090

8,610

11,510

1,120

Iranian Multiple- Strike Cities

Yield/Number of weapons

       

- Ahvaz

250 + 500

38,180

55,270

6,530

210

3,800

6,850

63,270

- Bandar Abbas

100 × 3

11,970

21,060

400

650

3,880

7,810

9,750

- Esfahan

500 × 2

86,520

140,960

23,690

320

6,970

51,710

139,080

- Kermanshah

250 × 3

9,420

64,540

12,450

20,070

26,430

41,900

102,230

- Mashad

500 × 3

26,950

51,360

3,260

470

3,890

16,380

38,110

- Shiraz

500 × 2

57,360

107,560

16,140

1,070

9,750

36,220

86,090

- Tabriz

500 × 2

17,070

62,310

1,370

8,020

25,510

19,130

16,000

- Tehran

100 × 5

469,720

846,470

231,010

5,650

37,770

249,910

1,325,520

- Tehran

250 × 5

419,030

803,370

299,430

13,090

60,030

280,380

1,221,110

- Tehran

500 × 5

309,110

591,320

50,680

16,000

73,560

192,590

485,110