From: Nuclear war between Israel and Iran: lethality beyond the pale
Scenario/City | Weapon yield (kt) | Estimated population* | Total* fatalities | Total* injuries |
---|---|---|---|---|
Israeli Cities | Â | Â | Â | Â |
- Beer Sheva | 15 | 208,770 | 105,510 | 35,090 |
- Haifa | 15 | 323,890 | 69,420 | 50,400 |
- Tel Aviv (double strike) | Dual 15 | 1,372,440 | 229,330 | 147,340 |
Iranian Single-Strike cities | Â | Â | Â | Â |
- Arak | 250 | 424,270 | 387,600 | 32,240 |
- Ardabil | 500 | 456,500 | 428,120 | 22,240 |
- Hamadan | 250 | 386,130 | 362,400 | 35,250 |
- Karaj | 15 | 1,125,360 | 157,960 | 130,960 |
- Karaj | 50 | 1,125,360 | 325,860 | 199,270 |
- Karaj | 100 | 1,125,360 | 508,030 | 219,070 |
- Karaj | 250 | 1,125,360 | 744,100 | 210,460 |
- Karaj | 500 | 1,125,360 | 891,190 | 164,770 |
- Kerman | 500 | 560,320 | 510,850 | 36,110 |
- Qazvin | 100 | 460,250 | 423,200 | 38,190 |
- Rasht | 500 | 503,140 | 482,940 | 46,450 |
- Reza Iyeh | 500 | 582,820 | 545,450 | 44,170 |
- Yazd | 250 | 435,120 | 326,610 | 48,930 |
- Zahedan | 500 | 602,530 | 578,950 | 23,330 |
Iranian Multiple-Strike cities | Yield/Number of weapons | Â | Â | Â |
- Ahvaz | 500 + 250 | 1,050,530 | 852,140 | 74,330 |
- Bandar Abbas | 100 × 3 | 467,510 | 438,240 | 22,160 |
- Esfahan | 500 × 2 | 1,836,920 | 1,510,050 | 199,640 |
- Kermanshah | 250 × 3 | 751,710 | 718,480 | 33,020 |
- Mashad | 500 × 3 | 2,242,760 | 2,178,020 | 59,250 |
- Shiraz | 500 × 2 | 1,227,820 | 1,037,170 | 133,190 |
- Tabriz | 500 × 2 | 1,264,550 | 1,220,250 | 73,760 |
- Tehran | 100 × 5 | 8,317,080 | 3,615,350 | 1,622,360 |
- Tehran | 250 × 5 | 8,317,080 | 5,594,200 | 1,577,220 |
- Tehran | 500 × 5 | 8,317,080 | 7,127,800 | 791,080 |