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Table 1 Rates used to calculate casualties due to prompt radiation, blast, and thermal effects

From: Nuclear war between Israel and Iran: lethality beyond the pale

Prompt radiation/Blast/Thermal effects

Fatality rate

Survivor injury rate

Prompt 600 rad*

50%

99%

Prompt 300 rad*

2%

99%

12 psi

85%

100%

10 psi

85%

100%

8.1 psi

50%

85%

7.1 psi

10%

70%

4.9 psi

5%

35%

3.8 psi

2.5%

25%**

3 psi

0

5%**

2 psi

0

2%**

1 psi

0

0**

0.6 psi

0

0***

90% Mass Fire

90%

100%

50% Mass Fire

50%

95%

Eden Mass Fire

40%

50%

10% Mass Fire

10%

10%

3rd-degree burns

5%

10%

2nd-degree burns

3%

12%

1st-degree burns

0%

15%

  1. *A 50% protection factor was applied for prompt radiation bringing the actual exposures to 300 and 150 rads, respectively.
  2. ** An additional 5% injury rate is assumed to be caused by flying glass.
  3. ***An additional 2% injury rate is assumed to be caused by flying glass.